Polymarket market · Sports

Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals

Resolved: Miami Marlins won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $67K into this market since Sep 1, 69% of their buying on Miami Marlins. Miami Marlins won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$38K and 1 lost −$20K: +$18K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
311 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kansas City Royals @ 41¢ $20K — −$20K
Revolving-Wallet
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 50¢ $15K — +$15K
Fresh-Availability
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 49¢ $12K — +$13K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miami Marlins @ 76¢ $7.3K — +$2.3K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Miami Marlins @ 52¢ $5.7K — +$5.3K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 62¢ $3.1K — +$1.9K
Scornful-West
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Bogus-Comparison-Evaluator
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Miami Marlins @ 76¢ $1.1K — +$345

Where the whale money went

  1. Miami Marlins won
    $45K
    69% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Kansas City Royals lost
    $20K
    31% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 1 to Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed