Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic

Resolved: Novak Djokovic won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $64K into this market since Sep 30, 90% of their buying on Novak Djokovic. Novak Djokovic won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$17K and 3 lost −$5.5K: +$12K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Shameless-Fifth-Ridge
9 settled bets Too few bets
Novak Djokovic @ 73¢ $36K — +$13K
Dimpled-Fishbone
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Novak Djokovic @ 79¢ $4.0K — +$1.1K
Disastrous-Deficit
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Stale-Supermarket-Bidding
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Novak Djokovic @ 74¢ $3.2K — +$1.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Novak Djokovic @ 72¢ $2.6K — +$973
Wooden-Breath
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 24¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Piercing-Achievement
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Scornful-West
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Novak Djokovic @ 71¢ $2.1K — −$2.1K
Limping-Shine
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Novak Djokovic @ 73¢ $2.0K — +$740
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Admired-Gopher
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nuno Borges @ 27¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Wrathful-Row
142 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Novak Djokovic won
    $48K
    90% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $9.9K sold
  2. Nuno Borges lost
    $3.4K
    6% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Novak Djokovic lost
    $2.1K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed