Disastrous-Deficit
0x0828e2ab9f76708970ad6fa20f457f8cc6d0a1a6
Disastrous-Deficit: +$7.2K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 22%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$7.2K
return +14.9%
Settled bets
23
$48K staked
Won
39.1%
95% range 22%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$9.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL Pistons
@ 99.9¢
Suns vs. Pistons |
Suns vs. Pistons | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Daria Snigur
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur |
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Daria Snigur | $1.1K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Novak Djokovic
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic |
China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic | $3.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Dane Sweeny
@ 43¢
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel |
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel | $3.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Dane Sweeny
@ 43¢
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel |
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel | $3.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yexin Ma
@ 34¢
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell |
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell | $3.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Dane Sweeny
@ 42¢
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel |
Hangzhou Open: Dane Sweeny vs Taro Daniel | $1.3K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Leylah Fernandez
@ 83¢
Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez |
Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.