Polymarket market · Sports

Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson

Resolved: Gabriela Knutson won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $133K into this market since Sep 18, 57% of their buying on Gabriela Knutson. Gabriela Knutson won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$28K and 1 lost −$9.6K: +$18K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
405 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Malaika Rapolu @ 28¢ $81K — +$4.2K
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Malaika Rapolu @ 43¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Expensive-Storm
6 settled bets Too few bets
Gabriela Knutson @ 35¢ $8.0K — +$15K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Gabriela Knutson @ 71¢ $7.7K — +$3.1K
Bouncy-Custom
16 settled bets Too few bets
Gabriela Knutson @ 87¢ $5.6K — +$868
Sweet-Number
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Gabriela Knutson @ 77¢ $4.7K — +$1.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Gabriela Knutson @ 82¢ $4.6K — +$999
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Gabriela Knutson @ 66¢ $4.5K — +$2.3K
Sharp-Folk
7 settled bets Too few bets
Gabriela Knutson @ 99¢ $3.0K — +$45
Misguided-Acetate-Confidence
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Visible-Quiet
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Shy-Wake-Pail
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Gabriela Knutson won
    $73K
    57% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $4.2K sold
  2. Malaika Rapolu lost
    $56K
    43% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed