Visible-Quiet

0x841df1dd5e77dcdd8813f72f8bb0f6947ee84a16

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Visible-Quiet: −$13K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$13K
return −47.0%
Settled bets
9
$27K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$10K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$2.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 59¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic $2.8K
Sep 18 BUY Yes @ 95¢
Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-18?
Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-18? $2.7K
Sep 18 SELL Lisa Pigato @ 99.9¢
Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato $2.2K
Sep 18 BUY Lisa Pigato @ 75¢
Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato
Caldas da Rainha: Susan Bandecchi vs Lisa Pigato $1.5K
Sep 18 SELL Gabriela Knutson @ 99.9¢
Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson
Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson $1.1K
Sep 8 BUY Lorenzo Sonego @ 50¢
Genoa: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro
Genoa: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro $5.0K
Sep 8 BUY Lorenzo Sonego @ 74¢
Genoa: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro
Genoa: Lorenzo Sonego vs Francesco Passaro $7.4K
Sep 8 SELL Aryna Sabalenka @ 99.9¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova $14K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed