Polymarket market · Sports

Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Kristina Novak

Resolved: Weronika Falkowska won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $63K into this market since Sep 15, 51% of their buying on Kristina Novak. Weronika Falkowska won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$6.7K and 3 lost −$26K: −$20K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Virtuous-Lye
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kristina Novak @ 82¢ $23K — −$23K
Sparse-Outset
299 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Weronika Falkowska @ 90¢ $10K — +$1.2K
Dimpled-Fishbone
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Weronika Falkowska @ 98¢ $3.5K $3.5K +$71
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Weronika Falkowska @ 76¢ $5.2K — −$1.7K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Weronika Falkowska @ 64¢ $4.7K — +$2.6K
Bold-Volatility-Deer
11 settled bets Too few bets
Weronika Falkowska @ 90¢ $1.6K $1.8K +$180
Quarrelsome-Sari-Tell
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kristina Novak @ 70¢ $1.3K $1.8K +$453
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Weronika Falkowska @ 87¢ $3.0K — +$466
Harmless-Region
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Weronika Falkowska @ 44¢ $1.4K — +$1.8K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kristina Novak @ 42¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Kristina Novak lost
    $28K
    51% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.8K sold
  2. Weronika Falkowska won
    $27K
    49% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $5.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed