Ample-Instance
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
Ample-Instance: −$6.6K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$6.6K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$6.6K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | $47K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 28¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $5.1K |
| Aug 24 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | $6.6K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $2.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 73¢
No one announced as next James Bond? |
No one announced as next James Bond? | $20K |
| Aug 23 | BUY No
@ 75¢
No one announced as next James Bond? |
No one announced as next James Bond? | $46K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Yes
@ 94¢
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? |
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? | $2.4K |
| Aug 22 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? | $3.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.