Woeful-Brownie-Snap
0x9abcef74bd261c587d57983c535e24e15375decf
Woeful-Brownie-Snap: −$82 on 32 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 97% (95% range 84%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$82
return −0.0%
Settled bets
32
$200K staked
Won
96.9%
95% range 84%–99%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 32 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$45
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.74¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? |
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 9? | $4.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.75¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 6? | $7.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes
@ 99.75¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3? |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 3? | $4.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 99.62¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 2? | $1.6K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.88¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September? | $3.7K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? |
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026? | $1.6K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21? |
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 21? | $5.9K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Yes
@ 99.89¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 21? |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 21? | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.