Finished-Freezer
0x5a06a58f7d7499262d98211f338f7669caef201b
Finished-Freezer: −$3.1K on 52 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 52%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.1K
return −4.6%
Settled bets
52
$67K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 52%–77%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$6.6K
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$5.4K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- −$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | SELL Up
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | $1.2K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Down
@ 94¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? | $1.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Down
@ 86¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4PM ET | $2.0K |
| Sep 14 | SELL Down
@ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | $1.1K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Down
@ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | $1.3K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Up
@ 73¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | $1.2K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Down
@ 96¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2AM ET | $1.6K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Up
@ 76¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.