Polymarket market · Other

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Resolved: Croatia won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales put $101K into this market since Oct 6, 86% of their buying on Croatia. Croatia won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$91K and 3 lost −$15K: +$77K between them.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Croatia @ 50¢ $38K — +$38K
Open-Fingernail-Bullet
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Croatia @ 48¢ $20K — +$21K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Croatia @ 46¢ $20K — +$23K
Anguished-Clam
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spain @ 54¢ $10K — −$10K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Croatia @ 54¢ $6.3K — +$5.4K
Cute-Legitimacy
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spain @ 54¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Bare-Creek-Console
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Spain @ 52¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Croatia @ 48¢ $2.0K — +$2.2K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Croatia @ 48¢ $1.2K — +$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Croatia won
    $87K
    86% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. Spain lost
    $15K
    14% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed