Lustrous-Battery
Skill vs luck
Lustrous-Battery on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 41%–93%) · profit +$3.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lustrous-Battery: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x496121ba250d47b62c2d84b3414a99aeeacade13. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lustrous-Battery: +$3.0K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 41%–93%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$3.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Invictus Gaming @ 79¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Bears @ 90¢ | Spread: Bears (-2.5) ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Bears @ 57¢ | Spread: Bears (-3.5) ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Patriots
@ 42¢
Spread: Bears (-9.5) |
Spread: Bears (-9.5) | $1.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Patriots
@ 42¢
Spread: Bears (-9.5) |
Spread: Bears (-9.5) | $1.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Patriots
@ 52¢
Spread: Bears (-6.5) |
Spread: Bears (-6.5) | $2.1K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes
@ 44¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | $1.8K |
| Oct 21 | BUY Yes
@ 43¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?