Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: 49ers (-2.5)

Resolved: 49ers won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $437K into this market since Sep 30, 73% of their buying on 49ers. 49ers won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$270K and 3 lost −$116K: +$154K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Grown-Difference-Burnout
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
49ers @ 53¢ $169K — +$150K
Esteemed-Cloves
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
49ers @ 53¢ $132K — +$117K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Broncos @ 46¢ $104K — −$104K
Decent-Armrest
189 settled bets Can't tell from luck
49ers @ 99.9¢ $13K — +$14
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
49ers @ 56¢ $6.5K — +$3.1K
0xe015…6ffd
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 51¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Grand-Access
3 settled bets Too few bets
Broncos @ 47¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. 49ers won
    $320K
    73% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Broncos lost
    $117K
    27% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed