Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Resolved: Chiefs won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $118K into this market since Sep 14, 90% of their buying on Broncos. Chiefs won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$4.4K and 4 lost −$102K: −$97K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Broncos @ 50¢ $95K — −$95K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Broncos @ 52¢ $9.9K — −$3.6K
Enchanted-Foal
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 65¢ $3.1K — −$738
Sticky-Pepper
8 settled bets Too few bets
Broncos @ 52¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Exemplary-Flare
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.2K —
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 48¢ $1.8K — +$2.0K
Far-Precipitation
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 49¢ $1.7K — +$1.8K
0x9b11…5375
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chiefs @ 70¢ $1.5K — +$638

Where the whale money went

  1. Broncos lost
    $104K
    90% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Chiefs won
    $9.6K
    8% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.2K sold
  3. Chiefs lost
    $1.7K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 14 to Sep 15, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed