Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Texans (-2.5)

Resolved: Bengals won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $70K into this market since Sep 14, 74% of their buying on Texans. Bengals won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$20K and 3 lost −$53K: −$33K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Boring-Musician
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texans @ 52¢ $47K — −$47K
Warped-Scholar
132 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bengals @ 45¢ $5.4K — +$6.6K
Short-Term-Valance
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bengals @ 48¢ $4.9K — +$5.3K
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bengals @ 48¢ $4.8K — +$5.2K
0x9b11…5375
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Texans @ 62¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Texans @ 51¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bengals @ 47¢ $2.2K — +$2.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Texans lost
    $52K
    74% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. Bengals won
    $17K
    25% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Texans lost
    $1.3K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 14 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed