Polymarket market · Other

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $55K into this market since Aug 30, 91% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$25K and 3 lost −$4.8K: +$20K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Excited-Subtitle
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $45K — +$22K
Thorny-Snowboarding
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 69¢ $2.8K — +$1.2K
Sandy-Nightingale
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 67¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 39¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 70¢ $1.4K — +$599
Unsteady-Quinoa
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 21¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
0x71e9…bc32
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 65¢ $1.0K — +$542

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $50K
    91% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. No lost
    $2.8K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $2.0K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed