Grateful-Forte

0xae2b8bc0283181cce4f07b28bbe237596a419cc3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grateful-Forte: −$8.4K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 9% (95% range 2%–38%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$8.4K
return −87.8%
Settled bets
11
$9.6K staked
Won
9.1%
95% range 2%–38%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.7K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$5.9K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$198
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $7.0K
Oct 5 SELL MOUZ @ 37¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.2K
Oct 5 SELL Legacy @ 33¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.3K
Sep 19 SELL Vitality @ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner $2.6K
Sep 19 BUY Vitality @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner $2.7K
Sep 19 BUY JD Gaming @ 49¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.1K
Sep 18 SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Sep 18 BUY No @ 93¢
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? $4.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed