Polymarket market · Crypto
San Jose State vs. Nevada
Resolved: Nevada won · See it on Polymarket ↗
4 whales traded $100K on this market since Oct 24, 85% of their buying on San Jose State. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. Nevada won, with 15% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$6.8K and 1 lost −$85K: −$78K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$3.2K on Nevada. Biggest loss: Unwieldy-Collagen, −$85K on San Jose State.
The whales on this market
4 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwieldy-Collagen
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
San Jose State @ 34¢ | $85K | — | −$85K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nevada @ 69¢ | $7.1K | — | +$3.2K |
| Smart-Elbow
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nevada @ 70¢ | $4.8K | — | +$2.0K |
| Solid-Porcelain
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nevada @ 66¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
San Jose State lost$85K85% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Nevada won$15K15% of whale buying · 3 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More crypto markets the whales bet on
All Crypto →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | $59K | 10 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | $144K | 30 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | $98K | 16 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | $186K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | $150K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | $65K | 13 | Open | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | $52K | 6 | Open | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | $61K | 13 | Won: Up |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?