Polymarket market · Other

Spread: UMass (-5.5)

Resolved: Eastern Michigan won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $60K into this market since Oct 2, 61% of their buying on Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$36K and 3 lost −$24K: +$12K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Arid-Revolver
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eastern Michigan @ 51¢ $24K — +$23K
Boring-Musician
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Eastern Michigan @ 50¢ $13K — +$13K
Corrupt-Poisoning
258 settled bets Beat the odds*
UMass @ 49¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Innocent-Grape
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck
UMass @ 49¢ $7.4K — −$7.4K
Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds*
UMass @ 51¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. Eastern Michigan won
    $37K
    61% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. UMass lost
    $24K
    39% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed