Polymarket market · Other
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11?
Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $62K on this market since Oct 11, 57% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$24K and 2 lost −$34K: −$10K between them. Biggest win: Feisty-Mention, +$16K on Yes. Biggest loss: Insubstantial-Organizing, −$31K on No.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insubstantial-Organizing
4 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 52¢ | $31K | — | −$31K |
| Feisty-Mention
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 48¢ | $15K | — | +$16K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,090 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 60¢ | $4.8K | — | +$3.2K |
| Edible-Gum
150 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 52¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Embarrassed-Ingredient-Automation
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 50¢ | $2.5K | — | +$2.5K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 66¢ | $1.8K | — | +$930 |
| Careful-Noir-Equinox
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $1.3K | — | +$624 |
| Muddy-Native
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
No lost$34K57% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.4K sold
-
Yes won$25K43% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | $101K | 29 | Open | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | $68K | 16 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | $173K | 39 | Won: Vitality | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | $130K | 26 | Open | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | $79K | 23 | Open | |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11? | $191K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | $230K | 45 | Open | |
| Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | $53K | 7 | Won: Pakistan |