Muddy-Native
0x0d5c98d8ea0538e4301d3e5a43db90f87e1898ee
Muddy-Native: −$2.3K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.3K
return −31.4%
Settled bets
9
$7.2K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- −$1.3K
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- −$390
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- −$558
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | SELL Yes
@ 74¢
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? |
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? |
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | $1.4K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 69¢
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04? | $1.4K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Under
@ 99.87¢
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 |
Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Under
@ 49¢
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5 |
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19? |
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-09-19? | $1.5K |
| Aug 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.