Stunning-Parole

0x2c479ec93ecfc09d70199e60d7713f6730a4fc6d

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stunning-Parole: +$3.4K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 76% (95% range 58%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.4K
return +4.6%
Settled bets
29
$76K staked
Won
75.9%
95% range 58%–88%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
+$308
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$2.3K
Sep 25 – Oct 13
+$827
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? $2.0K
Oct 9 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 $8.1K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 92¢
Galatasaray SK leading at halftime?
Galatasaray SK leading at halftime? $3.4K
Oct 3 BUY Over @ 73¢
India vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
India vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 $1.2K
Oct 2 BUY Over @ 99¢
São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
São Paulo FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $1.0K
Sep 26 BUY Over @ 98¢
Albania vs. Belarus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Albania vs. Belarus: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $3.5K
Sep 25 BUY Over @ 99¢
Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 0.5
Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 0.5 $1.1K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 99¢
Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
Will CA Paranaense vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? $6.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed