Polymarket market · Crypto

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $189K into this market since Oct 5, 99% of their buying on Up. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Unripe-Split
6 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 99.9¢ $72K —
Oblong-Riser
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 99.8¢ $42K —
Well-Informed-Ischemia
1 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 51¢ $27K —
Simple-Tradition
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 99.85¢ $10K —
Jumpy-Recollection
2 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 49¢ $9.3K —
0xf1ff…5b03
no settled record
sold only $0 $5.6K
Peppery-Capital
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Up @ 99.9¢ $5.3K —
0xebb2…63ed
no settled record
Up @ 99.9¢ $1.5K $2.0K
Trim-School
8 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 95¢ $2.4K —
0xe617…f251
6 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 90¢ $2.0K —
Nippy-Linseed-Worker
9 settled bets Too few bets
Down @ 62¢ $1.9K —
Essential-Boar-Harmonize
4 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 33¢ $1.7K —
Humming-Intelligence
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K
Attached-Pump
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K
Poor-Menopause
2 settled bets Too few bets
Up @ 82¢ $1.1K —
0x5651…66a6
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K
0xa8c2…b635
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Up
    $175K
    99% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $13K sold
  2. Down
    $1.9K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed