Nippy-Linseed-Worker

0x7cb6f070068633886c131b867b4696668f952252

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Nippy-Linseed-Worker: −$1.9K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 55% (95% range 28%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.9K
return −4.1%
Settled bets
11
$46K staked
Won
54.5%
95% range 28%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$5.7K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$3.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 BUY Team Falcons @ 56¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $13K
Oct 5 BUY Down @ 62¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? $1.9K
Oct 5 BUY Lions @ 58¢
Lions vs. Panthers
Lions vs. Panthers $5.6K
Oct 4 BUY 49ers @ 75¢
Broncos vs. 49ers
Broncos vs. 49ers $1.6K
Sep 29 BUY Bears @ 54¢
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles vs. Bears $2.4K
Sep 28 BUY Rams @ 65¢
Rams vs. Broncos
Rams vs. Broncos $1.9K
Sep 20 BUY Panthers @ 56¢
Panthers vs. Falcons
Panthers vs. Falcons $3.1K
Sep 20 BUY Eagles @ 75¢
Eagles vs. Titans
Eagles vs. Titans $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed