Trim-School

0x3884acd922095fc579938f2c6d1569decc38416d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Trim-School: +$309 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$309
return +1.6%
Settled bets
8
$19K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$34
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$48
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$228
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET $4.9K
Oct 8 BUY Down @ 99.57¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET $3.3K
Oct 7 BUY Down @ 99.87¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET $4.8K
Oct 5 BUY Down @ 91¢
Ethereum Up or Down on October 5?
Ethereum Up or Down on October 5? $2.3K
Oct 5 BUY Up @ 95¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? $2.4K
Oct 1 BUY Down @ 99.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET $3.0K
Sep 11 BUY Up @ 99.88¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET $3.7K
Sep 11 BUY Up @ 99¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET $4.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed