Costly-Tub-Vaulting
0x047faa21c02b8f28a8eff6aa8283f9e947f3bf3a
Costly-Tub-Vaulting: −$2.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.1K
return −7.1%
Settled bets
8
$30K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$5.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$3.4K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$60
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | SELL Oregon
@ 99¢
Oregon vs. USC |
Oregon vs. USC | $5.9K |
| Sep 10 | BUY Alliance
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B |
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | $4.4K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Spirit
@ 90¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $4.5K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 66¢
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic |
US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | $2.6K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Adolfo Vallejo
@ 70¢
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo |
Winston-Salem Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Adolfo Vallejo | $2.9K |
| Aug 22 | BUY FURIA
@ 74¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $7.1K |
| Aug 21 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 63¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $2.8K |
| Aug 21 | BUY Texas Rangers
@ 80¢
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers |
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers | $5.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.