Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarino

Resolved: Alexander Bublik won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $70K into this market since Sep 2, 65% of their buying on Alexander Bublik. Alexander Bublik won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$5.7K and 1 lost −$20K: −$15K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Lucky-Vision
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adrian Mannarino @ 25¢ $20K — −$20K
Zesty-Credit-Maniac
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 76¢ $5.0K $11K —
Slow-Escape
321 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 84¢ $9.1K — +$1.7K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 97¢ $7.7K — +$238
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 83¢ $6.1K — +$1.2K
Steel-Bull
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 77¢ $5.5K — +$1.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 88¢ $3.8K — +$548
Sniveling-Exam
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Alexander Bublik @ 77¢ $1.2K — +$345

Where the whale money went

  1. Alexander Bublik won
    $38K
    65% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $11K sold
  2. Adrian Mannarino lost
    $20K
    35% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2 to Sep 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed