Polymarket market · Sports

Caldas da Rainha: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Lisa Pigato

Resolved: Lisa Pigato won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $92K into this market since Sep 16, 53% of their buying on Lisa Pigato. Lisa Pigato won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$13K and 3 lost −$8.6K: +$4.1K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lisa Pigato @ 43¢ $59K — +$2.0K
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lisa Pigato @ 63¢ $15K — +$8.8K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson @ 37¢ $9.8K — −$3.7K
Enchanted-Spokeswoman-Charge
2 settled bets Too few bets
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson @ 59¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Essential-Race
8 settled bets Too few bets
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson @ 44¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Humongous-Bun
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lisa Pigato @ 64¢ $1.2K — +$666
Harmless-Region
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lisa Pigato @ 48¢ $1.2K — +$1.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Lisa Pigato won
    $48K
    53% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.4K sold
  2. Kajsa Rinaldo Persson lost
    $28K
    31% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. Lisa Pigato lost
    $14K
    16% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed