Essential-Race
0xf0b15c0cef25d13017febb54064552326ae93cb0
Essential-Race: −$13K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 7%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$13K
return −71.9%
Settled bets
8
$18K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 7%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17 | BUY Noma Noha Akugue
@ 42¢
Caldas da Rainha: Noma Noha Akugue vs Malaika Rapolu |
Caldas da Rainha: Noma Noha Akugue vs Malaika Rapolu | $5.1K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Alice Tubello
@ 50¢
Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice Tubello |
Ljubljana: Samira De Stefano vs Alice Tubello | $5.2K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Down
@ 27¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | $2.4K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Nishesh Basavareddy
@ 31¢
Tiburon: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy |
Tiburon: Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy | $2.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Up
@ 47¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5PM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5PM ET | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL J.J. Wolf
@ 99.9¢
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf |
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf | $2.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY J.J. Wolf
@ 60¢
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf |
Tiburon: Braden Shick vs J.J. Wolf | $1.8K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Diego Dedura-Palomero
@ 99¢
Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch |
Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch | $2.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.