Rash-Night

0x1d6819679e37b51fc1d01ac7691cb4f408dd4354

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Rash-Night: −$4.3K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.3K
return −59.1%
Settled bets
7
$7.2K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 7
−$1.1K
Sep 7 – Sep 25
+$11
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$3.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY Rafael Jodar @ 72¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar $1.2K
Oct 11 SELL Jaguars @ 54¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars
Eagles vs. Jaguars $1.5K
Oct 5 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 92¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar $1.0K
Oct 5 SELL Iva Jovic @ 96¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova $2.6K
Oct 5 BUY Iva Jovic @ 94¢
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open: Iva Jovic vs Kamilla Rakhimova $2.1K
Sep 27 BUY Maya Joint @ 62¢
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell $1.9K
Sep 21 BUY No @ 99¢
Exact Score: Dominica 3 - 1 Anguilla?
Exact Score: Dominica 3 - 1 Anguilla? $1.1K
Sep 5 BUY Over @ 80¢
Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Philadelphia Union vs. CF Montréal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed