Wiry-Termite

0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wiry-Termite: −$768 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$768
return −25.6%
Settled bets
2
$3.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
+$232
Oct 1 – Oct 16
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 16 BUY No @ 88¢ Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? ↗ $1.0K
Aug 27 BUY Yes @ 90¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026? $2.0K
Aug 25 BUY No @ 81¢ Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ $1.0K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed