Soupy-Wallaby

0x93cc64dceb9b1929f98d469501e0aa35d0ed6ffc

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Soupy-Wallaby: +$14 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 51%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14
return +0.1%
Settled bets
4
$11K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 51%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
+$2
Sep 17 – Oct 1
+$3
Oct 1 – Oct 16
+$9
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 16 BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? ↗ $4.0K
Oct 9 BUY Kia Tigers @ 99.8¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers $2.8K
Sep 18 BUY Under @ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5 $2.6K
Aug 24 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Winston-Salem Open: Completed Match: Valentin Royer vs Marcos Giron
Winston-Salem Open: Completed Match: Valentin Royer vs Marcos Giron $2.1K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed