Imaginary-Proliferation-Oeuvre
0x5e323273274461b7806f8c51282d613fa1d33334
Imaginary-Proliferation-Oeuvre: −$142 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$142
return −0.5%
Settled bets
9
$29K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$111
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$258
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? | $6.3K |
| Oct 7 | SELL No
@ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | $12K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | $1.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | $2.7K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | $1.8K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 99.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | $2.0K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | $9.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.