Polymarket market · Other

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales traded $82K on this market since Oct 3, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 7 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0x7f42…36ff
no settled record
No @ 82¢ $61K —
Nice-Perennial
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 80¢ $11K —
Advanced-Mailer
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 81¢ $2.2K $1.4K
Poor-Lemon-Lesson
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K
Altruistic-Gambling
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 79¢ $1.6K —
Testy-Operator
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 79¢ $1.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $78K
    100% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.5K sold
  2. Yes
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3 to Oct 19, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792479640).

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed