Poor-Lemon-Lesson

0x2da351390a6aff272bceef461bc543b965563895

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Poor-Lemon-Lesson: −$263 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$263
return —
Settled bets
1
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$263
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 SELL No @ 89¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? $2.1K
Oct 3 SELL No @ 81¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? $1.1K
Oct 3 SELL No @ 81¢
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? $1.5K
Sep 15 SELL No @ 47¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House $1.6K
Sep 2 SELL No @ 75¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $2.1K
Aug 26 SELL No @ 84¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? $4.1K
Aug 23 SELL No @ 80¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? $1.1K
Aug 22 SELL Yes @ 24¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed