Polymarket market · Sports

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Resolved: Song Yadong won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $162K into this market since Aug 25, 95% of their buying on Umar Nurmagomedov. Song Yadong won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$10K and 12 lost −$80K: −$69K between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Song Yadong @ 17¢ $1.7K $57K —
Fancy-Theft-Mainland
3 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 82¢ $20K — −$20K
Greedy-Buckwheat
1 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 84¢ $20K — −$20K
0x4948…c785
2 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 83¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $7.0K —
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 85¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Well-Lit-Venison
1 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 83¢ $4.4K — −$4.4K
0xf40f…a253
1 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 85¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Magnificent-Sister
9 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 84¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Ecstatic-Fries-Outfielder
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.3K —
Immense-Facelift
9 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 81¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Careful-Softening-Puma
1 settled bets Too few bets
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 84¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Woeful-Breastplate
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.5K —
Wan-Hate-Rehospitalisation
3 settled bets Too few bets
Song Yadong @ 19¢ $2.5K — +$10K
Dizzy-Chemical
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 82¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Frightened-Inhibitor-Morbid
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 83¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Immediate-Staircase
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Firsthand-Scrutiny
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Unruly-Preoccupation
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Short-Term-Valance
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Umar Nurmagomedov @ 84¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Scornful-West
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —
0x9a5a…8151
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Umar Nurmagomedov lost
    $80K
    95% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $2.9K sold
  2. Song Yadong won
    $4.2K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $75K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Aug 29, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed