Dizzy-Chemical
0x4c9c46627cb0f28a2105094f02ab60fdca6ce006
Dizzy-Chemical: −$14K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 46% (95% range 29%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$14K
return −18.6%
Settled bets
26
$74K staked
Won
46.2%
95% range 29%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$14K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$286
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 95¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 85¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Umar Nurmagomedov
@ 82¢
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) |
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) | $2.2K |
| Aug 23 | SELL TEAM VISION
@ 27¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $1.7K |
| Aug 23 | SELL TEAM VISION
@ 39¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $3.3K |
| Aug 23 | SELL TEAM VISION
@ 59¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.8K |
| Aug 23 | BUY TEAM VISION
@ 57¢
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.