Polymarket market · Sports

UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)

Resolved: Axel Sola won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $82K into this market since Sep 2, 72% of their buying on Axel Sola. Axel Sola won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$83K and 3 lost −$23K: +$60K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Axel Sola @ 41¢ $41K — +$59K
Unwieldy-Collagen
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Farés Ziam @ 59¢ $17K — −$17K
Lost-Property
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Axel Sola @ 41¢ $12K — +$18K
Magnificent-Sister
9 settled bets Too few bets
Farés Ziam @ 59¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Known-Mask-Niche
2 settled bets Too few bets
Farés Ziam @ 58¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Cuddly-Battalion
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Axel Sola @ 41¢ $2.4K — +$3.5K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Tough-Nexus
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Axel Sola @ 41¢ $1.6K — +$2.3K

Where the whale money went

  1. Axel Sola won
    $57K
    72% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.9K sold
  2. Farés Ziam lost
    $23K
    28% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 2 to Sep 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed