Tough-Nexus
0xc97485a44146b5db0b8b121358f57cf297cdb33b
Tough-Nexus: +$8.4K on 25 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 30%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.4K
return +9.3%
Settled bets
25
$90K staked
Won
48.0%
95% range 30%–67%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 25 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$34K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$23K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Cardinals
@ 49¢
Spread: Cardinals (-2.5) |
Spread: Cardinals (-2.5) | $9.5K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 43¢
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-5.5) | $3.8K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 46¢
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | $4.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Rams
@ 47¢
Spread: Rams (-2.5) |
Spread: Rams (-2.5) | $4.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bengals
@ 41¢
Spread: Bengals (-5.5) |
Spread: Bengals (-5.5) | $2.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Alabama
@ 42¢
Spread: Alabama (-14.5) |
Spread: Alabama (-14.5) | $3.6K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Packers
@ 45¢
Spread: Packers (-6.5) |
Spread: Packers (-6.5) | $4.1K |
| Sep 22 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 36¢
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) |
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | $2.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.