Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Bills (-6.5)

Resolved: Bills won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $103K into this market since Sep 16, 95% of their buying on Lions. Bills won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$2.3K and 4 lost −$97K: −$95K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Lions @ 41¢ $66K — −$66K
0x16bb…8492
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 55¢ $28K — −$28K
0x9b11…5375
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 69¢ $1.4K $1.3K +$186
Utilized-Gland
1 settled bets Too few bets
Bills @ 99.89¢ $2.1K — +$2
Absolute-Rations-Nightingale
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 54¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Automatic-Kind
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Bills @ 45¢ $1.7K — +$2.1K
Agitated-Bricklaying
491 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Lions @ 54¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Lions lost
    $97K
    95% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. Bills won
    $5.2K
    5% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $1.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed