Polymarket market · Sports
Pistons vs. Heat
Resolved: Pistons won · See it on Polymarket ↗
13 whales traded $133K on this market since Oct 22, 82% of their buying on Pistons. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.0¢ more per share, with 92% of the size there to buy. Pistons won, with 82% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$82K and 6 lost −$23K: +$60K between them. Biggest win: Rosy-Trinket, +$57K on Pistons. Biggest loss: Impractical-Gripper, −$8.0K on Heat.
The whales on this market
13 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosy-Trinket
122 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 52¢ | $62K | — | +$57K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
297 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Pistons @ 77¢ | $20K | — | +$4.2K |
| Fresh-Availability
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Pistons @ 53¢ | $18K | — | +$16K |
| Impractical-Gripper
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 47¢ | $8.0K | — | −$8.0K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,343 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 47¢ | $4.9K | — | −$4.9K |
| Near-Archer-Godfather
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 46¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,776 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Pistons @ 77¢ | $3.7K | — | +$1.1K |
| Insubstantial-Organizing
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 49¢ | $3.4K | — | −$3.4K |
| Strange-Julienne-Cinema
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Pistons @ 51¢ | $3.1K | — | +$3.0K |
| Superficial-Terminology
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Shoddy-Harmonise
109 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Heat @ 23¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Hateful-Chord
189 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Pistons @ 49¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.4K |
| Affectionate-Chemical
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Heat @ 55¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Pistons won$106K82% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $2.4K sold
-
Heat lost$24K19% of whale buying · 7 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 22 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Celtics | $135K | 28 | Won: Celtics | |
| Spread: Warriors (-1.5) | $56K | 7 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | $56K | 12 | Won: Mavericks | |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | $171K | 30 | Won: Raptors | |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | $129K | 29 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $114K | 14 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers | |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 | $156K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | $67K | 11 | Won: Lakers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?