Affectionate-Chemical
Skill vs luck
Affectionate-Chemical on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$246. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Affectionate-Chemical: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x9753165f6fd3901aefc5c78de58cc6c98ed19d8f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Affectionate-Chemical: +$246 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$12
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$258
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Lakers @ 76¢ | Clippers vs. Lakers ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Raptors @ 66¢ | Raptors vs. Wizards ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Trail Blazers @ 73¢ | Trail Blazers vs. Kings ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Heat @ 55¢ | Pistons vs. Heat ↗ | $1.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?