Polymarket market · Sports

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres

Resolved: San Diego Padres won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $95K into this market since Aug 21, 93% of their buying on San Diego Padres. San Diego Padres won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$66K and 1 lost −$6.0K: +$60K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Prickly-Hype
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $76K — +$65K
Wordy-Littleneck
311 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Minnesota Twins @ 46¢ $6.0K — −$6.0K
Earnest-Hate
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.7K —
Wonderful-Patio
46 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 83¢ $3.6K — +$742
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 75¢ $1.8K — +$597
Black-And-White-Summit
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 99.9¢ $1.7K — +$2
Average-Hawk
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —

Where the whale money went

  1. San Diego Padres won
    $83K
    93% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $3.7K sold
  2. Minnesota Twins lost
    $6.0K
    7% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. San Diego Padres lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.5K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed