Earnest-Hate
0xeafc018ccbca46db203ba57c3e798ce0e84fe4c4
Earnest-Hate: −$62K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 8%–48%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$62K
return −79.4%
Settled bets
14
$79K staked
Won
21.4%
95% range 8%–48%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$62K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.0K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 67¢
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL
@ 99.3¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets |
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | $1.9K |
| Sep 17 | SELL
@ 99.21¢
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC to score first vs. Norwich City FC? |
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC to score first vs. Norwich City FC? | $3.8K |
| Sep 17 | BUY
@ 51¢
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC to score first vs. Norwich City FC? |
Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score AND Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Manchester City FC to score first vs. Norwich City FC? | $2.0K |
| Sep 16 | BUY
@ 21¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | $1.3K |
| Sep 15 | SELL
@ 32¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds AND San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds AND San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY
@ 37¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12? AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | $1.1K |
| Sep 10 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 55¢
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) |
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.