Informal-Perch

0xc1851785f9e3cbebe4b228691c31e0164bdfd1b8

No settled bets on record yet: none of this wallet's $1,000+ bets since Aug 20 have resolved. Its record appears after the next daily update once they do.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 24 BUY No @ 66¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? $10K
Sep 24 SELL No @ 81¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? $5.0K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? $10K
Sep 23 SELL No @ 87¢
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? $10K
Sep 20 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? $11K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed