Polymarket market · Sports
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $56K on this market since Oct 25, 55% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.0¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 55% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$12K and 6 lost −$21K: −$8.4K between them. Biggest win: Functional-Mink-Gloom, +$6.1K on No. Biggest loss: Gleeful-Cauliflower, −$7.5K on Yes.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Mink-Gloom
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 62¢ | $10K | — | +$6.1K |
| Forked-Pricing
244 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $9.8K | — |
| Tough-Composer
1 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 61¢ | $9.2K | — | +$5.9K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,130 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Yes @ 42¢ | $8.7K | — | −$7.5K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,056 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 42¢ | $6.5K | — | −$6.5K |
| Short-Term-Aspic
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 97¢ | $5.0K | — | +$142 |
| Creamy-Guest
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 42¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Excellent-Figure
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 34¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,357 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 42¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| 0xb34c…449c
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 33¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$25K55% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $9.8K sold
-
Yes lost$21K45% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793084411).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25? | $57K | 10 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | $144K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 0.5 | $157K | 3 | Won: Over | |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25? | $96K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | $68K | 17 | Won: Yes | |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Molcan | $137K | 6 | Won: Adrian Mannarino | |
| Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 44.5 | $108K | 5 | Won: Under | |
| Spread: Panthers (-3.5) | $76K | 4 | Won: Buccaneers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?