Tough-Composer
Skill vs luck
Tough-Composer on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$5.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tough-Composer: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xcfc51c0a1a5a78845127d9d9dcb1236f700dc7cf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tough-Composer: +$5.9K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$5.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY No @ 61¢ | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25? ↗ | $9.2K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?