Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Resolved: Jiri Lehecka won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $76K into this market since Aug 30, 89% of their buying on Jiri Lehecka. Jiri Lehecka won. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$13K and 2 lost −$6.6K: +$6.5K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Tall-Anorak
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jiri Lehecka @ 81¢ $36K — +$8.2K
Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
Jiri Lehecka @ 81¢ $11K — +$2.6K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
Jiri Lehecka @ 89¢ $8.5K — +$1.1K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jiri Lehecka @ 77¢ $7.9K — +$756
Rural-Hunter-Rambler
9 settled bets Too few bets
Pablo Carreno Busta @ 11¢ $4.6K — −$4.6K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jiri Lehecka @ 89¢ $3.7K — +$463
Dry-Gather
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pablo Carreno Busta @ 23¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Ignorant-Front
48 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $1.8K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Jiri Lehecka won
    $66K
    89% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.8K sold
  2. Pablo Carreno Busta lost
    $7.8K
    11% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed