Tall-Anorak
0x397062018dfb77e855608fe23223592bc82c44ce
Tall-Anorak: +$211K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 39%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$211K
return +40.5%
Settled bets
20
$521K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 39%–78%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$196K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$15K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | BUY Aryna Sabalenka
@ 62¢
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina |
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | $19K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Radu David Turcanu
@ 91¢
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov |
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov | $11K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Radu David Turcanu
@ 91¢
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov |
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov | $14K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Radu David Turcanu
@ 90¢
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov |
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov | $16K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Radu David Turcanu
@ 89¢
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov |
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov | $22K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Radu David Turcanu
@ 77¢
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov |
Istanbul 3: Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov | $11K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Samir Hamza Reguig
@ 71¢
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov |
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov | $14K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Maxim Zhukov
@ 19¢
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov |
Istanbul 3: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Maxim Zhukov | $10K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.