Bouncy-Office-Onset

0x121fd10502fbd639a491a4e5779bca49508c15c1

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Bouncy-Office-Onset: +$29K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 74%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$29K
return +28.3%
Settled bets
11
$104K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 74%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$140
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$29K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 17 BUY No @ 44¢
Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?
Will Donyell Malen win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award? $1.5K
Sep 14 BUY Chiefs @ 70¢
Spread: Broncos (-5.5)
Spread: Broncos (-5.5) $1.4K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 97¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House $14K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 79¢
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? $3.0K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 93¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-12? $4.1K
Sep 12 BUY Yes @ 98¢
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? $20K
Sep 11 BUY Alexander Zverev @ 95¢
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov $37K
Sep 11 BUY No @ 76¢
Will Rapid Wien be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga?
Will Rapid Wien be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga? $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed