Youthful-Tug
0xcb59ea1babf3b26ea50088057e427ab0ed8f0a22
Youthful-Tug: +$8.0K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$8.0K
return +22.7%
Settled bets
4
$35K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$232
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.8K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 81¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $4.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 85¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.6K |
| Oct 3 | SELL No
@ 88¢
Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 48¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | $3.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 71¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.2K |
| Sep 23 | BUY No
@ 68¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.